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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: BGR who wrote (84188)	10/13/2000 1:09:00 PM
From: Earlie	Read Replies (1) of 132070

BGR: I don't hold opinions on rates, I just observe. It's there and it doesn't seem to be shrinking. (g) I don't analyze currencies either, but I do try to understand what is going on behind the big numbers. Not terribly successful here, but perhaps a tad better than the "average bear". Historically, massive trade deficits have typically been dealt with through currency crunches. The changing "reserve currency" status of the buck and the emerging probability that the Euro will be accepted as a reserve currency, sure do make it a muddy pond in which to snorkle, but one does have to try. Is the U.S. economy "strong"? Certainly debatable, particularly given that the government stats are so useless and distorted. IMHO, it's far too vulnerable to a debt-burdened consumer. Best, Earlie No doubt the historic spreads that have recently appeared in the U.S. bond markets (worse than the fall of 1998) speak to the -

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