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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis

SOXX 288.52

-0.3%

Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: Donald Wennerstrom who wrote (5)	10/17/2000 7:27:29 PM
From: Donald Wennerstrom	Read Replies (4) of 95420

With the loss of the last 2 days, the group total loss is approaching that of the 1997 to October 1998 loss - 65 vs 76 percent. Six of the stocks, AMAT, COHU, KLAC, NANO, PRIA and TER are down more now than the 1997/98 period. The SOX-X is also down more now than then. We essentially have completed the down cycle (or very close to it), but when do we start back up? Was today the bottom like 10/8/98 was the bottom of the last down cycle? 1997 2000 HIGHEST 10/09/98 HIGHEST 10/17/00 CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT CLOSE CLOSE PERCENT SYMBOL PRICE PRICE CHANGE PRICE PRICE CHANGE AMAT 27.00 11.82 -56 114.88 44.50 -61 ASML 17.61 4.54 -74 50.05 23.34 -53 ASYT 23.63 3.10 -87 63.88 15.06 -76 ATMI 41.75 11.38 -73 60.00 17.25 -71 BRKS 39.69 8.63 -78 89.69 22.13 -75 CFMT 40.50 6.63 -84 15.63 4.75 -70 CMOS 27.07 5.03 -81 74.59 16.13 -78 COHU 28.00 7.69 -73 59.50 14.56 -76 CYMI 48.75 8.00 -84 65.25 18.38 -72 DPMI 72.00 19.31 -73 78.81 49.94 -37 EGLS 35.25 9.25 -74 43.44 13.88 -68 FSII 23.19 4.63 -80 23.13 9.13 -61 GSNX 23.06 3.63 -84 46.50 10.25 -78 HELX 32.19 8.63 -73 75.38 22.00 -71 IMSC 23.25 5.75 -75 24.06 11.38 -53 KLAC 37.81 12.50 -67 97.44 28.06 -71 KLIC 28.63 5.78 -80 43.00 11.81 -73 LRCX 22.08 3.30 -85 55.56 15.88 -71 LTXX 8.25 1.28 -84 50.25 12.75 -75 MTSN 16.00 2.75 -83 49.13 8.78 -82 NANO 13.63 4.81 -65 59.00 17.75 -70 NVLS 21.54 7.69 -64 69.94 31.69 -55 PHTN 9.25 2.38 -74 90.38 27.94 -69 PLAB 31.38 11.00 -65 45.13 16.50 -63 PRIA 58.50 10.63 -82 87.63 15.00 -83 SFAM 60.38 10.13 -83 28.81 7.56 -74 SMTL 13.44 2.50 -81 23.69 8.69 -63 SVGI 37.75 6.88 -82 37.84 27.13 -28 TER 29.38 9.00 -69 110.00 25.00 -77 TGAL 11.25 1.50 -87 8.97 2.31 -74 UTEK 34.38 15.38 -55 19.38 15.50 -20 VECO 72.50 24.75 -66 115.50 79.94 -31 WFR 38.75 3.50 -91 23.75 11.50 -52 TOTAL 1047.84 253.77 -76 1900.19 656.47 -65 SOX-X 403.64 200.80 -50 1332.73 648.09 -51 COMPQX1745.85 1492.49 -15 5048.85 3213.96 -36

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