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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Seeker of Truth who wrote (33376)10/19/2000 2:03:24 PM
From: EnricoPalazzo  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
Investment in startups is a big business for Microsoft. I think profits in that sector should have the same place as "operating" profits

Yes and No.

Three good reasons to like profits from start-up investments:
-investing cash flow is still cash flow
-investing in start-ups is a sustainable part of our business model (and Intel's)
-we have a core competency in making such investments, by virtue of our competitive position.

OK, the last two are sort of the same... Anyway, there are some drawbacks:
-It's very easy to manipulate these numbers to smooth out quarterly results.
-Profiting from shrewd investments is a sustainable part of our business model only because of our strong competitive position. This would imply that the really important issue is our ability to sustain this competitive position going forward, not our ability to milk it in the short term. Seen in this light, weak "operating" cash flow (as usually defined) is far more important than strong investing cash flow.

This last drawback is pretty important, IMO.

Just my opinion, not Microsoft's...

ardethan
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