Well, I see your point, but I disagree. I don't think Gilder "makes" reality, anymore than Arthur C. Clarke made geostationary satellites, or space stations, or Robert Heinlein made Waldos, or, for that matter, Leonardo da Vince made helicopters. I think what happens is that these writers understand technology and can predict where technology is evolving.
He is in daily contact with inventors and engineers, and entrepeneurs and venture capitalists, and they tell him what's going on right now and what they hope to do in the future, and he analyzes what he hears, sees, and reads, and perceives patterns that predict future synergies.
I don't know if you have all the old issues but he's wrong a lot. He was wrong about Java, and he's been wrong for a long time about Cisco, those are the two that come to mind, and I don't suppose it's really necessary for me to go back over the old issues and see where else he's been wrong. But he's right about the broad picture. |
