October 22, 2000
Presidential Tracking Poll
On Sunday morning, the Portrait of America Presidential Tracking Poll finds
George W. Bush leading Al Gore by a 46% to 41% margin. The percentages
are based on 3,000 interviews, conducted Wednesday, Thursday and Saturday.
All of the interviews were conducted following Tuesday's Presidential debate.
So, it appears that neither candidate gained ground with the voters during the
final debate. If that pattern holds, it's good news for George W. Bush, since Al
Gore needs something to turn this race around. From Labor Day until the first
debate, the race for the White House has essentially been even. Since that
first debate, however, Bush has gained ground and held a steady lead.
The telephone survey of 3,000 likely voters was conducted on Wednesday,
Thursday, and Saturday, October 18, 19, and 21. The survey’s margin of
sampling error is +/- 1.8 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
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