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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 214.90-0.1%3:59 PM EST

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To: dougSF30 who wrote (15475)10/22/2000 5:59:41 PM
From: jeff_boyd___Read Replies (1) of 275872
 
"I doubt you're actually long AMD. You're trying to convince other people that a P/E multiple of 8 is legit for a company growing much faster than slow-grow Intel at a P/E of 25. Try again."

No, I actually am long AMD. Just trying to better understand why the market ascribes a P/E of 8 to AMD. I don’t claim to know much about the PC business, but there are many people here who do.

Obviously it is the fear of PIV and just Intel in general. I read the posts of people who post here (people who I greatly respect), but yet I'm just not quite convinced that AMD is just fine. Jerry made the comment about being relatively uncrushable a couple of quarters ago and I believe it is true, but I take that to mean they can’t grind them into bankruptcy. The new FAB isn't the only reason AMD is building cash IMO; it is also an insurance policy in the event Intel decides to not allow AMD the additional market share. I don’t want to hold AMD if they are operating at breakeven status and I doubt you do either.

I think AMD is one of the few tech companies that isn’t terribly overvalued, but I've been around long enough to know that their fortunes could decline again; they could also soar too if the PIV is a failure.

Jeff
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