PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH Message Board

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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

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To: fuzzymath who wrote (51931)	10/25/2000 10:02:27 AM
From: Howard Clark	Read Replies (1) of 769670

Kevin, interesting site, but - You seem to have missed today's Battleground poll which shows the race tightening rather significantly: Bush 45% Gore 39%. Three of the four polls you site show significant movement towards Gore in the last few days. - I'm not sure of the theoretical validity of weighting the polls in this manner. Aren't the polls conducted on different days using different question wording and different methodologies? - Regarding Fuzzy Logic #2, that 94% of the stock market gain occurred during the 75% or so of Clinton's administration in which Republicans had majorities in Congress, suggesting a slight positive correlation between Republican majorities and prosperity: First of all, correlation does not prove causation. It may be that prosperity creates Republican majorities rather than vice versa, or the two facts may be coincidental. Actually I think it is a reach to give either party much credit for what goes on in the economy. Secondly your factoid may be taken as evidence that the combination of a Democratic president and Republican congress has been positive for the nation and should be continued. This is, in fact, my view.

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