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Technology Stocks : Applied Micro Circuits Corp (AMCC)
AMCC 8.4500.0%Feb 3 4:00 PM EST

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To: 16yearcycle who wrote (801)10/26/2000 1:32:10 PM
From: ratan lal  Read Replies (1) of 1805
 
so we can be very confident in a calendar year 2002 3 bucks in earnings

2 years from now the industry will be more mature and AMCC as well ass other cos. will be eligible for p/e ratios normal for mature industries which is around 15? (unless growth is high in which case an appropriately higher p/e should preavail).

At $3 per share earnings in 2002, the p/e at the current share price of 125 is around 42.

Would you be willing to pay more than a p/e of 42 in 2002??

If not, then the pirc eof $125 right now is too high.

If yes, then figure out what p/e u would be willing to pay in 2002, find the present value of that price and that should be your guideline for a LTB&H strategy.
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