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Technology Stocks : Kopin Corp. (KOPN)
KOPN 2.380-2.9%Dec 26 9:30 AM EST

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To: kinkblot who wrote (1348)10/27/2000 12:43:33 PM
From: kinkblot  Read Replies (1) of 1820
 
Non-Conexant HBT revenues look light.

Conexant/Total was 56, 47 and 45% in Quarters 1, 2 and 3. With the weak Q3 at Conexant, I expected a bigger falloff from Q2 to Q3. These numbers were given by Richard Sneider on the Q2 and Q3 conference calls. In his presentation on yesterday's call, Section 3: Financials, he stated: "Conexant sales were 45 percent of our total sales, down from 47 in the second quarter." I'll assume that those figures are reasonably accurate and not off by more than +/- .5% due to rounding.

            ($, thousands)
Revenues Q2 Q3 change %
---------- ------ ------ --------
CyberD 4,845 5,350 + 10.4
HBT 19,487 17,930 - 8.0
Product 24,332 23,280 - 4.3
Total 24,395 23,831 - 2.3


Estimate based on 47 and 45 percent of Total:

CNXT        11,466  10,724    -  6.5
HBT(-C) 8,021 7,206 - 10.2


Allowing for the max rounding error and using 47.49 and 44.51 still only reduces the drop in HBT(minus CNXT) by less than a third:

CNXT        11,585  10,607    -  8.4
HBT(-C) 7,902 7,323 - 7.3


I took Sneider literally, i.e. Conexant percent of "total sales", but even if he meant percent of total product revenues, it wouldn't change the calculations in a large way:

CNXT        11,436  10,476    -  8.4
HBT(-C) 8,051 7,454 - 7.4


Either I'm missing something, or we've had a decline where an increase was expected: in non-Conexant HBT revenues. I was hoping that Conexant and non-Conexant HBT revenues would be flat and up this quarter; instead, it looks like down and down. Where's Waldo, and why isn't he buying HBT wafers?

WT
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