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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (10162)	10/28/2000 1:09:03 PM
From: lurqer	Read Replies (1) of 65232

I've been "gone" a couple of weeks and am "a little behind" with my Inbox. In response to a post of mine you posed the question LurqMan, do you expect capitulation to coincide with 6-8 month lag from the "sour spot" of the rate hikes??? as in 6-8 months from March-May ??? that would be Oct-December ??? For some of my current thoughts (FWIW) see Message 14679144 (My previous post to RR.) You could be right (as is said around here <gg>), but I currently believe the Capitulation phase of this bear correction will be a little further out in time. A question I have is what is the dispersion on that lag time - i.e. what is the probability that the lag could be 10 months? Hope you are well ensconced in Clearwater for the season. lurqer

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