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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve

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To: Carolyn who wrote (155)10/29/2000 7:32:09 AM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (3) of 6710
 
Cisco's Electoral Vote Prediction as of 10/29/2000

Bush Safe: AK-3, AL-9, AZ-8, CO-8, GA-13, ID-4, IN-12, KS-6, KY-8, LA-9, MS-7, MT-3, NC-14, ND-3, NE-5, NV-4, OH-21, OK-8, SC-8, SD-3, TX-32, UT-5, VA-13, & WY-3 for 209 votes.

Bush Leaning: IA-7, WV-5 for 12 votes.

Bush Total: 221 electoral votes.

Gore Safe: CT-8, DC-3, DE-3, HI-4, MD-10, MA-12, NY-33, RI-4, & VT-3 for 80 votes.

Gore Leaning: CA-54, NJ-15, for 69 votes.

Gore Total: 149 electoral votes.

BUSH NEEDS 49 ELECTORAL VOTES
GORE NEEDS 121 ELECTORAL VOTES

Toss-up: AR-6, FL-25, IL-22, ME-4, MI-18, MN-10, MO-11 NH-4, NM-5, OR-7, PA-23, TN-11, WA-11, & WI-11 for 168 electoral votes.

Cisco's Battleground States:

STATE DATE POLL GORE BUSH NADER OTHER UND MOE
AR 10-6 POA 43 41 2 3 11 3

CA 10-14 POA 44 40 5 2 9 4
10-23 LA-TIMES 48 41 5 1 5 4
10-23 PPIC 44 39 6

FL 10-25 POA 45 46 2 1 5 3
10-23 FL-VOTER 41 46 4 3 6 4
10-24 CBS/NYTIMES 46 42 3 1 8 4
10-24 ARG 49 45 2 4

IL 10-22 CHIC-SUNTIMES 45 43 4 4 3 3.9
10-23 P0A 44 40 3 2 11 3
10-26 FOX NEWS 43 44 4
10-26 CHIC-TRIBUNE 45 35 3

IA 10-14 POA 40 46 3 1 10 3

ME 10-21 POA 39 43 5 3 10 3
10-23 ME-POLL 43 34 5

MI 10-18 POA 43 43 2 1 11 3
10-24 ARG 46 43 5 2 4 4
10-25 EPIC MRA 44 42 4 1 9 4
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 5 2 8 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 42 41 4
10-26 DETROIT NEWS 42 42 3

MN 10-13 POA 38 38 8 4 13 3
10-24 ST. CLOUD UNV 38 41 10 4.5

MO 10-16 RESEARCH 2000 41 42 4
10-23 POA 42 46 2 2 8 3

NH 10-18 RESEARCH 2000 44 41 4
10-22 POA 38 46 6 3 8 3

NJ 10-11 POA 45 37 4 3 12 3
10-23 QUINNIPIAC 47 41 4 1 7 3.3

NM 9-26 POA 41 44 5 2 8 3
9-28 NM ST UNIV 42 42 4
9-30 MASON-DIXON 41 44 5

OR 10-21 POA 38 43 7 2 9 3
10-24 ARG 41 45 10 4

PA 10-18 POA 42 43 3 3 10 3
10-18 CFLI 42 42 4 2 10 4
10-24 ARG 48 43 2 1 6 4
10-26 TARRENCE/LAKE 45 40 5 5 5 4.9
10-26 FOX NEWS 46 39 4

TN 9-27 MASON-DIXON 43 46 4
10-18 MEDIA GENERAL 45 43 5
10-21 POA 43 47 2 1 6 3

WA 10-19 POA 41 41 7 2 8 3
10-20 ELWAY 46 37 4

WV 10-18 POA 42 44 3 2 9 3
10-24 OH STATE 37 46 4
10-23 RYAN-MCGINN 36 47 4

WI 10-24 POA 41 45 4 1 6 3
10-24 ST NORBERT 46 39 5 3 7 4.8
10-26 TARRANCE/LAKE 43 42 6 3 6 4.9
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