Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack -- A Complete Analysis

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: donald sew who wrote (34308)	10/29/2000 12:18:37 PM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) of 42787

>Due to the uncertainty in this market, I reduced my downside bias last week to 2:1 with 83% cash. From my large cash position its obvious that I aint sure of anything< That's not a bad thing this year. Cash has beat the market on a YTD basis. Especially dollars. On a less bearish note: I've read that the Dow, and perhaps the S&P have not gone below the Previous year's low since the secular bull market started in 1982. Last year's DJI low was just above 9000. I would expect to see major intervention if it tests that level. Also, the seasonal trend of the market between the 1st of November and end of March is bullish. You would have made money every year for at least the past 15 years buying at the start of Nov. and selling at the end of March. Even the bad years are positive over that period. chart.yahoo.com Data only goes back to 1984. I'd bet that the seasonal trend holds for even the majority of secular bear market years. I've seen this movie before. Stocks go down, Fed cuts rates and prints money, stocks go up. <g> A break of last yr's lows would change my thinking.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next