A MUST READ>......................IF IT WORKS: Gore Could Learn from Bush's Victory over Ann Richards Running on the 1994 Strategy
P. M. Carpenter is a frequent contributor to TomPaine.com.
This year's presidential race between George W. Bush and Al Gore could be said to have eerily similar overtones to the 1994 Texas gubernatorial race between George W. Bush and incumbent Ann Richards. Six years ago Richards enjoyed reasonably high approval ratings, yet according to polls right up to election day the race remained quite close. Like Gore, Richards raised doubts about W.'s competence, but did so tepidly and with nothing like the memorable vitriol she poured on his father at the 1988 Democratic National Convention. And in their only debate -- according to coverage by the Atlanta Constitution -- "everybody was nice-nice."
In her light charge of the brigade during the debate, Richards advanced with two mild critiques. She first admonished W., "You have got to have some experience in the public sector before you can have the chief executive's job." Second, Richards claimed that proposals made by W. during the campaign would cost the state of Texas several billion additional dollars -- $17 billion to be precise. To these observations W. responded with the usual generalities: "The fact that I haven't held public office gives me the freedom to think differently," said W. The charge of budget contortions he dismissed as "just old-style politics."
Is all this sounding weirdly familiar so far? If so, given what Richards predicted and how W. defended, how did things play out over the next five years?
The most telling, indisputable fact is that spending did not rise $17 billion, as Richards foretold. It rose $25.3 billion, from the two-year budget of 1994-1995 to that of 2000-2001. Indeed, the level at which the state budget "swelled" -- as the Houston Chronicle put it -- in these five years prompted an erstwhile Texas Republican Party fund raiser, David Hartman, to declare that it was "irresponsible by conservative standards." Steve "Hope, Growth, and Opportunity" Forbes was inspired enough during the primaries to denounce W.'s budget as having surpassed in growth even Bill Clinton's (and that's about the nastiest thing one Republican can say to another), but the most damning assessment came from the Texas Taxpayers and Research Association -- "an influential business group," according to the Chronicle. Bill Allaway, the association's president, said that while he had no "major complaints" about W.'s spending, he added, oddly, that "Texas just authorized spending a record amount in 2000-01, set aside nothing for future rainy days and overshot the largest 'surplus' in the state's history by almost one-half billion dollars." Well, at least he had no major complaints.
Of course, much of the increased spending was the result of W.'s administrative emphasis on education, but the prediction of an increase was precisely what W. had smugly ridiculed as nothing more than "old-style politics." Surrounded by advisors he surely knew the costs of educational initiatives -- even sorely needed ones -- would add up, but he refused to be straightforward with voters. Still, even with the additional spending that indeed materialized, W.'s record is muddled at best.
As the San Diego Union-Tribune reported in 1999, there are "some education realities that [Bush] dares not draw attention to." Those include the realities that "educators say the [higher test] scores probably reflect reforms put in place before he became governor," and that "though Bush boasts that Texas raised teacher pay ... Democrats and educators say they had to fight him to win it." Said Louis Malfaro of Education Austin: "Our biggest opponent [regarding the pay raise] was Governor Bush."
Even more problems arose from W.'s push his first year in office to open charter schools -- his version of "educational entrepreneurship." It's not that the concept of charter schools is a bad one, said critics. But W. and Republican legislators, because of ill-advised haste, were sloppy in requiring safeguards. As a result, some charter schools in 1999 were "under investigation for financial failures, fund misappropriation, forgery and failure to administer state-required tests," according to the Union-Tribune. And, "We can see some patterns developing ... with all the charters," said Brooks Flemister, senior director for Texas's charter schools.
What's more, though W. certainly was liberal with spending (made possible by a booming national economy) on publicly funded charter schools, he was far less enthusiastic when it came to spending money on older public schools -- and that lack of enthusiasm originated with his goal of a counterproductive tax cut. "He had the choice of spending [the state budget surplus] on education or giving a bigger tax cut, and his guys were all working for the tax cut," said a legislative director for a senior Democratic state senator. You know, one of those Democrats that W. works so famously well with.
The lesson is that against W.'s homey and euphoric proclamations of citizen-legislator generalities, nice guys finish last. Just ask Ann Richards. She failed to insist on a clearly defined vision from her opponent. W., in short, first bamboozled voters by scoffing at the charge of a soaring budget, then "authorized spending a record amount," then permitted problems to mushroom through lack of competent supervision, then contradictorily blew a surplus generated by good economic times on a questionable tax cut, rather than going the distance and shoring up public schools. Gore, in short, needs to toughen his resolve in getting clear answers, unlike Richards. He needs to forget being Mr. Nice Guy, and he needs to do it damned fast. |