Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve Message Board

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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve

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To: Cisco who wrote (191)	10/30/2000 4:27:29 PM
From: Elvis Jones	Read Replies (1) of 6710

I've been tracking POA's electoral college standings. While they show 220-171 for Bush, the numbers don't make sense. If you add up the states for each candidate with a 5+ point lead, Bush would be leading 227-95. California and Illinois each show a 4 point Gore lead. Oregon shows a 5 point Bush lead. Now if you roll in the 4 point lead states to each candidate, it's 264-171 for Bush. Gore may get California and Illinois in this case. But Bush then adds Missouri, Tennessee, Maine and Wisconsin. Under that scenario, Bush needs only 1 of the following to win (Gore needs all 7)... 1) Pennsylvania (Bush up by 3) 2) New Mexico (Bush by 3) AND West Virginia (Bush by 2) 3) Florida (Bush by 1) 4) Michigan (Even Race) 5) Washington (Even) 6) Minnesota (Even) 7) Arkansas (Gore by 2) Note: None of this is my opinion. This is all analysis based on POA's electoral college page.

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