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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 105.33+5.2%Nov 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Enigma who wrote (60426)11/2/2000 9:25:30 AM
From: Alex  Read Replies (3) of 116770
 
ECB to Dump Dollars???????????

Most of the foreign exchange reserves potentially backing up the euro are owned by the 11 national central banks. The ECB itself has only about E50bn of reserves directly at its disposal. The remainder, worth more than E210bn, plus most of the gold, belongs to the national central banks. These reserves were accumulated during the pre-euro period when there were still 11 national currencies that needed some foreign exchange reserve backing. With the launch of the euro, however, there is no longer any reason for national central banks of the euro-zone to continue to keep more than E210bn of reserves. As these reserves consist mostly of dollars, which are currently over- valued in a long-term perspective, there is a strong argument for disposing of them to realise the profit. But this is not a job for the ECB. The simplest way to dispose of the excess reserves at the national central banks would thus be to ask them to keep E50bn and transfer the remainder of about E160bn to national treasuries. Keeping reserves of E50bn in the national central banks of the eurosystem is more than enough for a potential call-up by the ECB because this would allow the ECB to count on about E100bn in an emergency, about twice the sum available to US authorities.

National treasuries in the euro-zone countries would then find themselves with E160bn worth of dollars. If they believe what their political representatives repeatedly assert, that the euro is massively undervalued, they should sell these dollars quickly and use the proceeds to pay off public debt. The entire operation would thus be equivalent to a massive intervention.

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