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Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU)

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To: FESHBACH_DISCIPLE who wrote (13901)11/3/2000 11:36:51 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) of 24042
 
Fesbach, plethora of bankrupt fiber companies are at least 2-3 years away

it took internet companies how many years to reach the present bankrupt/ consolidation/ oversupply scenario?
4-5 years?

we have yet to see numerous cableTV bankruptcies after a many viable years so far

we have yet to see many wireless bankruptcies after a few robust years so far

even if fiberoptic evolves more quickly, what little guys offer now is in critical demand
the widespread plowing over for bankrupt firms happens after supply overwhelms supply
demand is growing at unprecedented rate now
that rate is sure to slow, but not stop in its tracks
my conclusion is we are are a few years away from 10:1

I am not an expert in the vast array of smaller players
but can you name 5 bankrupt fiberoptic companies now?

those sold FO assets will need to be integrated into acquiring systems
some of them will possibly be obsolete upon liquidation

all bets are off if we enter a recession, or an internet depression

keeping it real
/ Jim
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