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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve
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To: bigsablepoint who wrote (479)11/6/2000 3:29:23 PM
From: chomolungma  Read Replies (1) of 6710
 
What is your popular vote prediction?

Mine is Bush 49.8, Gore 44.7, Nader and others 5.5.

I think it is very unlikely that Gore can lose the popular vote and win the electoral college. With New York and California now showing Gore ahead by about 15 and 10 percent respectively, it will offset some of the big gains that Bush has in Texas in the popular vote. Remember also, Bush wins a lot of small states where the population to electoral vote ratio is low.
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