Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve Message Board

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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve

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To: TraderGreg who wrote (583)	11/7/2000 2:48:43 PM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (1) of 6710

I keep coming up pretty close to your results with a few exceptions: Maine: You have Bush locked. I see the RKM poll of last week at 42-42. Even using a potential outlier poll (Rasmussen, skewed Bush?) is showing Bush up only 43-39. Comes up on a lot of tossup maps. Iowa: You have leaning Gore. Polls only show 1-2% Gore lead, and it's raining. I have true tossup. New Hampshire: I have leaning Bush, you have toss up. Polls show Bush up 10% (ARG), and 8% (Rasmussen). True there is a 1% Gore up poll, and this state is famous for unexpected. Delaware; You show going to Gore in a tossup. Could well be, but Mason-Dixon gave Bush 4%. Rasmassen however gave it to Gore by 1%. In the final analysis I give DE, ME and NH to Bush and come up with a 269-269 tie. Also word is out about a big voter turnout which will firm up the Democrat count. My latest POP is Bush 48.6 Gore 47.2 Nadar 4.2. I think this is a pretty unbiased analysis, as indeed I voted for Bush. Among the other tossups, I gave WI to Bush, but that one is where I have my greatest doubt.

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