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Technology Stocks : Applied Micro Circuits Corp (AMCC)
AMCC 8.4500.0%Feb 3 4:00 PM EST

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To: SJS who wrote (934)11/7/2000 6:32:58 PM
From: Trader Dave  Read Replies (1) of 1805
 
same conclusion as you, but a different analysis.

I am not fearful of a long term demand driven slowdown for packet infrastructure.

combined with the strength of the merchant silicon cycle (a hidden padding/multiplier no one bothers to analyze) I sincerely doubt amcc hits the wall anytime in the near future. i think fundamentals are fine.

However, valuations are still at very high levels.

confusion is swirling everywhere, growth rates and valuations are unprecedented, i expect this wild volatility will continue for a while.

With the FD eliminating a primary conduit of company communication, i see no reason for a recovery anytime soon. But i don't call markets, it's hard enough dealing with straight fundamentals.

td
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