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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna
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To: William H Huebl who wrote (49180)11/9/2000 5:12:47 PM
From: Mark Adams  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Ok- a little thought experiment.

Interest rates are at 12-13%. Profits have been decimated by declining sales, as fixed costs erode gross margins. Unemployment is high. The SCYR should be around .09, if not .009 <g>. The Fed lowers rates .5% Is it time to buy?

My guess is that ratio works much better for telling when to get out of the market than getting back in. The scenario described should be about what it was like after the 81-82 recession. Not that I've troubled researching for exact numbers. And possibly after the 73-74 bear market.
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