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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures
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To: Chip McVickar who started this subject11/10/2000 2:58:27 PM
From: Chip McVickar  Read Replies (2) of 12411
 
NYSE 25 day summation and 40 day cycles

Interesting the way the NYSE 25 day sum is reacting.
The last time it went -minus into plus territory was on June 2nd.
This was proceeded by a series of broken and short lived 20 day spurts.

After June 2 it stayed plus until Sept 19th (skipping a 40 day cycle),
Sept 19 was 'right-on-the-dot' of a 40 day cycle and a window for turning negative, it did.

Nov 13th puts us right on a 40 day cycle again and I expect a positive change. A 6 day window is structured in from having watched the last few years.

So..., the 25 day sum is pushing up against neutral at about -1500 (0.95 ob/os)..., between Nov 13th and 21st the sum has a window here and should either fail to rise or continue negative.

I suspect this count will turn positive and the NYSE market will begin rising into the end of the year.

I've not done any research on the Nasdaq, as the Advance/Decline historical figures are very difficult to come by. The Nasdaq is definately on a different cycle and most likely has de-coupled and will remain at logger-heads with the prevailing sentiment.(If anyone has access to this data and knows Excel I can get the process going.)

If the NYSE can hold these levels 10,600 for a week, the weekly chart forks suggest 11,500 is doable.
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