SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: bigsablepoint who wrote (68864)11/10/2000 3:05:57 PM
From: Mr. Whist  Read Replies (2) of 769667
 
Re: inaccuracy of POA and Battleground polls:

Limbaugh's theory was that Dubya's DWI conviction hurt more than realized and wasn't reflected in the last polling; that the polls didn't reflect Nader's loss of voters on Monday and Tuesday when it came down to crunch time; and I think he also mentioned that the majority of undecideds voted for Gore. There might have been another reason or two.

My theory is this: the POA and Battleground polls, for whatever sampling reason, are biased toward Republicans. At least POA is geared toward those "likely to vote," and we had millions of "unlikely" voters actually vote on Tuesday.

I also think that POA was more accurate than the others in '96 simply because many people stayed away from the polls when Clinton beat Dole -- because it was a foregone conclusion that Clinton would win. Therefore, the actual spread may have been much higher than Clinton's actual winning margin, thus giving false credibility to POA in '96.

I think Zogby was the best, by far, this election.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News