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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH

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To: Rambi who wrote (70681)11/11/2000 8:40:23 PM
From: KyrosL  Read Replies (2) of 769667
 
No question about it. The will of the people is the last thing that either side cares about. Here is my estimate of what numbers the Palm Beach count recount will produce.

Typically, hand recounts look only at ballots that expressed no preference and produce a 0.5% increase in the overall vote. The recounted vote invariably is divided among the candidates in the same percentage as the machine counted ballots.

So, given that Gore had a 27% advantage over Bush and that 460,000 votes were cast I expect that a complete hand recount will produce a net gain of 620 votes for Gore. If this is repeated in Broward and Dade counties, then Gore will gain an additional 1080 and 260 votes respectively for a total of 1960 votes, easily overwhelming Bush's current lead, including any overseas ballots.

This explains the rather desperate Bush attempt to stop the hand count via a federal court order -- which will certainly be dismissed very quickly.

Kyros
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