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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 240.58-2.5%Nov 17 3:59 PM EST
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To: Chung Lee who wrote (18812)11/13/2000 11:29:04 AM
From: Andrew ShihRead Replies (3) of 275872
 
Joe <<I tried to come up with a scenario that would result in $90 ASP, and it is hard to come up with one.>>

What were the estimates for Athlon vs Duron?

Here's my guess:
75% Athlon SOLD at 1Ghz or greater.
25% Athlon SOLD at < 1 Ghz
2.5 Million Athlon @ $185
3.5 Million Duron @ 55
2.0 Million K6 @ 35

This results in $90.625 ASP.

If Athlon production goes up to 3 million, ASP = 96.18
If Duron sells at $60, ASP = 92.81.
etc.
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