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Politics : Ask Michael Burke

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (85267)11/13/2000 12:56:39 PM
From: Night Trader  Read Replies (2) of 132070
 
To get technical here, the standard devation is sqrt(np(1-p) = approx 14, where n is the sample size, in this case the number of added votes (859), and p is the chance that any one of them belongs to Gore, which we can assume to be his proporion in the election, .64.

To answer your second point, the new votes are not from 'confused' voters - this has nothing to do with the Butterfly Ballot issue - but are simply from machine or human error. Accordingly there must be other factors at work to cause the biasing.
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