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Strategies & Market Trends : NetCurrents NTCS

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To: CharlieChina who wrote (4488)11/13/2000 1:07:18 PM
From: Lane Hall-Witt  Read Replies (1) of 8925
 
I've had Naz 2500 or so in mind -- not based on analysis, but on a sense that the big money will need to hold that psychological line in the sand. You're absolutely right about margin calls. I've been scared of margin debt ever since this spring, and it stands to reason that we will ultimately have to pay the piper. We also must have some hedge funds in trouble again, with so many of their core holdings in trouble (even ORCL, SUNW, and EMC are getting hit). It seems just a matter of time before the big hurt finds CSCO.

If you have a chance sometime, set aside an evening to read John Kenneth Galbraith, The Crash of 1929. One key element of that tale was the unrelenting pressure of margin selling, where the market's downward spiral went on and on even in the absence of panic. The selloff took on a rather eery mechanical quality that transcended emotion and reason.
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