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Strategies & Market Trends : Ultra OTC Fund - UOPIX
UOPIX 140.75-1.7%Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: bob wallace who wrote (821)11/13/2000 5:30:39 PM
From: bob wallace  Read Replies (1) of 2063
 
holy cow!

I am a bit behind things and I just got to look at the sentiment figures in Saturday's Barrons.

Cant believe it, AAII went to 62% bullish and only 8% bearish (that's 90%! bullish for all non-neutrals) - bearish percent for Investors Intelligence actually went down while bullish percent went up - small changes but in totally the wrong direction, and more bullish than when Meisler first indicated in SEPTEMBER that those sentiment numbers had to get more bearish for a bottom to be possible

the Barrons sentiment numbers confirm the Ameritrade Index which continues to show huge buying by individual investors into last week's declines...

what we have here, I believe, is an investor who has just flipped 100 "heads" in a row and is CONVINCED the next toss will be "tails". This market will not bottom until the average investor never expects to see another tail again

Bob
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