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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO)
CSCO 71.75-0.5%Nov 11 3:59 PM EST
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To: Monty Lenard who wrote (43445)11/14/2000 1:36:15 PM
From: RetiredNow  Read Replies (2) of 77397
 
OK. Here's your answer: the index is AS LIKELY to go 5.5 std devs below the mean as it is to go 5.5 std devs above the mean. That is statistical fact. It's just math, not rocket science, like you said. According to the math, we're not likely to see the downswing of 5.5 std devs below the mean. By definition, the odds of that happening are extremely slight. Can it happen anyway? Sure. I could also win the lottery or get struck by lightening. ANYTHING is possible. But the real question is whether it is PROBABLE.
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