VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED

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To: hroark2000 who wrote (16159)	11/14/2000 4:51:05 PM
From: Jim Willie CB	Read Replies (2) of 65232

Fed policy moves will be strange to be sure just saying sooner or later they will ease likelihood of rate cut is now greater than rate hike PPI core was negative crude oil helped to slow down the economy, thus helping AG spending is down durable goods is hardly strong inventory has built up the Bush taxcut angle would seem to discourage AG but dont expect that to happen without a huge fight in Congress everyone has been saying that split Congress will NOT allow progress I frequently mention how the Federal Reserve responds more than ANY other factor to the corporate bond spread (over Treasury yield)... that factor indicates bigtime strain right now, meaning illiquidity in the credit market the Fed sees panic on Wall Street dont be surprised in the next couple months to cut rates they could put spin on it by saying something like... "we are just taking back the June 25bpt hike that might have been excessive" / Jim

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