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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: LLCF who wrote (37536)11/14/2000 11:15:05 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (3) of 436258
 
here's a question that will be THE most important question going forward: is this recent slight contraction in MZM going to continue? does it denote the beginning of the end? note that a similar pullback earlier this year (likewise greeted with collapsing stock prices) was reversed.

stls.frb.org

note how correspondingly, there are hiccups in total borrowings and bank loans, however, commercial and industrial loans still rising strongly, making up for the dip in commercial paper issuance. that's some of the future bad loan stuff that's typically accumulating as an end-of-cycle phenomenon on banks books:

stls.frb.org
stls.frb.org

none of this looks as of yet irreversibly bad, but the link between money supply and stock prices continues to be well documented.
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