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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 675.37-1.2%4:00 PM EST

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To: Death Sphincter who wrote (62632)11/16/2000 1:48:05 PM
From: John Pitera  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Carl, very perceptive thoughts, I was commenting to Tom
that these days the market often feeds textbook
Edwards and Magee work followers to the sharks.

a Head and shoulders pattern is supposed to break below
the neckline enough to get the longs out and the shorts
expanding their positions.

trendlines are made to be broken and half of the breaks
are fake outs.

I've found that since April, often it's the guys looking
at the 21 dma, 50 dma and 200 dma overlay charts and
are buying support and selling resistance coupled
with momentum divergences and also working with
the fundamental developments are the guys running this
market.

the 21 dma of the dollar volume of all the money in
puts as a percent of the 21 day moving average of the
money in calls is having predictive value.

Larry McMillan is really into some of that stuff and
after sitting through his 1 and 1/2 hour presentation and
then talking with him for another hour afterwards, I
actually shelled out some bucks for his newletter and
some of his other stuff...

I saw him on the sunday afternoon TAG 22 session in Dallas
and attendance was light as it was the 4th day of the
event, so we had a small group and really got to ask
him all kinds of questions, and I've got his options
Bible and he's done lots of research....so it was cool.

he showed us the 21 day ma of the value of all of the puts
divided by the money in calls and it there was a 500 times
as much market capitaliztion in the puts as the calls,
highest in MSFT history.

this was on sunday 15th of Oct and MSFT made that nice
47 low within 3 days.

It amazing the techical work that can be readily done today
by market pros tha was just beyond impossible 5, 10
and 15 years ago....unless you had the Pentagon's Budget.

John
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