SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Compaq
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Windseye who wrote (86930)11/17/2000 4:23:37 PM
From: Richard Habib  Read Replies (1) of 97611
 
Let's talk about falling chads. Using reasonableness, what chads do you think would fall out - those fully attached or those already hanging. The criteria the counties are using to judge overvotes is uniformly that a chad already hanging is a vote. Thus chads falling out in the vast majority of the cases or perhaps in all cases wouldn't change tallies. The media with typical ignorance of tech issues & lack of common sense are unable to point this out.

Error rates. MeDroogies quotes punch machine error rates in NY Times article from machine manufacturers. In a normal situation rates may result in anywhere from 99.99 to 99.75%. All of those error rates would impact the election but the crux is PB. In PB the situation is not normal. PB has a large statistical anomaly. The media is again having trouble pointing this out - in PB undervotes & overvotes is running about 27-29K r 6.7% of the vote. This is double normal rates and despite what MeDroogies believes is a large anomaly. The reasons for the anomaly are unimportant. What does matter is that under these cirumstances the machine will have much larger than normal error rates. I have no doubt that PB alone will yield additional votes numbered in the low 1000's. Because this error is the result of the specific overvote situation these votes will tend toward Gore.

Hand count errors range in the neighborhood of 1 in 10,000 or 99.99% accuracy. This comes from the manufacturers of the machines who consistently state that hand count is the most accurate method of tabulating votes and that in an election at the limits of the machine reliability a hand count is the appropriate remedy. Moreover, the idea that hand count errors will tend toward one candidate or another is incorrect. Each 1 in 10,000 mistake has to be looked at in isolation. Elementary probability would indicate that each mistake will tend toward a specific candidate according to the odds 1 in however many candidates there are on the card, say 1 in 5 or 6. Thus the combined errors will be random and will not affect any one tally any more than another. Rich
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News