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Pastimes : Clown-Free Zone... sorry, no clowns allowed

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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (40770)11/24/2000 6:24:36 PM
From: s-words  Read Replies (1) of 436258
 
>> after all, the only reason for it is that Bore lost. had he not, no-one would be clamoring for a re-count<<

Negative. Bush would be recounting if his statisticians were telling him that it was in his interest to do so. They know that because of the distribution of types of voting equipment and the error rates of each that their best chance is to try to shut down all manual recounts.

>>IF machine counts are indeed inaccurate, the inaccuracies are in all likelihood distributed normally, i.e., they are not likely to favor one candidate over the other. hand counts are (obviously) different...

In a large sample that favors one candidate, errors will approximate the vote ratios of the two candidates. That is, undervotes (missed votes) will penalize the leading candidate in that sampled area. Repeated machine recounts accomplish little, as the equipment evidently repeats the mistakes (undervotes).

You could say that Bore is leading this thing. He's ahead in electoral votes until FLA is decided.
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