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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates

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To: Uncle Frank who started this subject11/26/2000 7:25:40 AM
From: Brian K Crawford  Read Replies (1) of 54805
 
I hope everyone has enjoyed Thanksgiving, celebrated with
family, and gotten their minds off of their y2k portfolio
results for a while.

The following numbers helped me gain some perspective on
where we are in this market cycle.

This data was lifted from a report by Robert Loest, fund
manager at IPS Millennium Fund. I updated the last
entry for new lows made since the original was put together.

NASDAQ:

Peak - Trough Percent decline Length
=============== =============== =========
Jan 73 - Oct 74 -59.9% 21 Months
Sep 78 - Nov 78 -20.3 2
Jun 83 - Jul 84 -31.5 13
Aug 87 - Oct 87 -35.8 2
Jul 90 - Oct 90 -34.5 3
Jul 98 - Oct 98 -29.5 3
Mar 00 - ??? ?? -45.5 ?

We may see further lows in this cycle, but it sure seems to
me that this is a pretty good time to be Gorilla hunting.

Brian
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