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Technology Stocks : Cisco
CSCO 73.11+0.3%Oct 31 9:30 AM EDT

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To: Frederick who wrote (342)11/27/2000 9:54:52 AM
From: The Phoenix  Read Replies (4) of 405
 
Cisco's heritage, their 'raison d'ete,' is IP routing, and since the demise of Wellfleet they have owned the router market.

Shouldn't we be concerned if they can't develop a competitive product in this space?


CSCO core competency is IP... not neccessarily IP routing. This would include any technology neccessary to deliver service using IP. I think the best way to put this is that CSCO's core competency is in putting together IP "solutions" for companies and carriers... routers are only part of the solution. I think this is where most competitors lose the vision and are unable to compete. Competitors compete on product - CSCO competes on solutions... there's a big difference

That said, CSCO still has a 92% market share in mid-range, high-end, multiservice routers and a 75% share in core and edge routers so I'm not sure what you mean when you suggest that CSCO doesn't have a competitive product. If you're referring to the JNPR numbers please refer to my earlier post on this thread for my comments. In a nutshell JNPR's numbers include service revenue - CSCO's do not. Also CSCO market share has fluctuated from the low 70% to around 80% for about 2 years in that market so a 75% share would indicate that CSCO is competing fine... and without 10G. Can you imagine what the share would like like with 10G on the GSR??!! I hear we'll find out soon. One thing I didn't point out in my earlier post on this matter is that when CSCO had 80% share LU was the main competitor and LU reported equipment revenue only. Since JNPR reports both equipment and service resulting in close to 30% market share I would guess that backing out the service would make this market share battle look the same as it did when LU was competiting with CSCO... in other words not much has changed other than analysts perceptions and those that listen to these folks.

OG
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