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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve

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To: chomolungma who wrote (3672)11/28/2000 10:41:50 AM
From: Cisco  Read Replies (2) of 6710
 
Al Gore's margin in the original Miami-Dade count was 6.3%. If there are 10,000 "undervotes" then Mr. Gore could reasonably expect to pick up 634 votes. If one-half of one percent of those are true "protest" votes; which is the national average, it would make the expected pickup for Gore around 440 votes.

I would have to disagree! The precincts that were counted in Dale before they discontinued the counting were precincts that Gore carried by over 70%. The precincts that remain are precincts that Bush carried by 54%! It has been calculated that if the recounts had continued that Bush would have gained 300-600 votes in the rest of the county. They say this is the real reason that the canvassing board decided to stop where they did and not count the original Gore gain.

BTW, there were 175,000 under votes statewide in FL and over 2,000,000 nationwide!
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