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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Windsock who wrote (129160)	11/28/2000 10:03:13 PM
From: Jim McMannis	Read Replies (1) of 1570078

RE:"The Bush counties tend to have optical ballots (low error rate) and the Gore counties tend to have punch ballots (high error rate). If the errors are found in proportion to the votes counted, a good assumption, Gore would gain more than Bush in a state-wide recount. That is why the Bush folks do not want a state-wide recount" Gore already gained...but not enough. You have to know the population of the counties to get a true idea... Dade, Broward and Palm Beach together are over 25% of the voting population. The other large counties I see that use punch cards are Hillsbourgh(Tampa), Pinellas(St. Pete)and Duval(Jacksonville). Hillsbourgh and Duval were Bush, Pinellas slightly Gore but not 2:1 like Broward and Palm Beach. Gore couldn't get ahead in Broward and Palm Beach. So now they want to recount Dade. Dade said no...but if they did it would be a crap shoot if he could pull enough votes to get ahead. A bigger reach is that he could stay ahead in a statewide recount. I think Bush would easily beat Gore in that case...looking at the map... Gore just wants to lengthen the game because without more time he has no chance. With a total recount...he has little chance and he gets to trash the markets further and get back at the fat cats...<G> Jim

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