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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM)
QCOM 182.44+3.7%3:51 PM EST

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To: Rajala who wrote (88488)11/30/2000 9:20:45 AM
From: Keith Feral  Read Replies (1) of 152472
 
Raj:

Previous to now, there were no royalty estimates or ASIC revenues for infrastructure and handsets that QCOM could derive from ATT's network. With Lucent and others installing a UMTS system for AWE, i. e. a GSM core network with a WCDMA air interface, analysts have to begin building positive financial assumptions as QCOM begins charging royalties on the RF equipment and delivers ASIC's for the base stations that the infrastructure vendors will require.

This is the same FUD we have seen before. WCDMA is a direct benefit to QCOM which will benefit from royalties and ASIC revenues. QCOM gets the same royalties in a WCDMA system that they would get in a CDMA2000 system since CDMA has nothing to do with baseband networks in a CDMA2000 system.

We can finally put a date on AWE's decision to defect to 3G CDMA, 11/30/2000. I think it will be ironic that QCOm is indicated down on the biggest day of transition for US TDMA community so far. Of course, Cingular still has to announce which CDMA platform they plan to go with. This is the first day time that we can say the US fully operate under a harmonized 3G platform (even though the systems will not be compatible.)

I can't help but to think back to Gregg Powers comments that the diversity of the 3G CDMA proposal was very positive for Qualcomm since it would dilute the economies of scale amongst the different infastructure and handset makers. This acute observation makes more sense today than ever as you consider the large number of companies competing for the same group of customers.
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