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Strategies & Market Trends : Market Gems:Stocks w/Strong Earnings and High Tech. Rank

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To: SouthFloridaGuy who wrote (117669)11/30/2000 1:24:03 PM
From: Jenna  Read Replies (1) of 120523
 
JNPR called long today and CIEN as well.. might want a daytrade there prior to earnings on the long side.. (a la BRCD) but BRCD has an even higher multiple than CIEN..

.....Considering the broad industry nervousness, combined with the fact that Ciena (unlike Corning, Nortel, Alcatel, Cisco or almost any other network equipment vendor) is entirely dependent on optical networking for its business, it was only a matter of time before Ciena took a major, concentrated hit.

This latest Bluestone report about potential Ciena sales was merely an excuse for the market to use the same release valve on CIEN that has already been opened for everyone else in the sector. CIEN has lost more than 35 percent this week.

Yet it's worth pointing out that even with today's losses, Ciena trades at almost 110 times next year's earnings, an astounding valuation for a bull market, and an unreal multiple in the current environment. Even compared to another optical pure-play -- such as components maker JDS Uniphase (Nasdaq: JDSU) with a forward multiple of 68 or so -- Ciena looks mighty expensive.

Sentiment is just now catching Ciena from behind. And there's still plenty of air beneath CIEN. 22GO
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