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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve
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To: moosebeary who wrote (4335)12/2/2000 8:50:25 PM
From: TraderGreg  Read Replies (2) of 6710
 
Yeah- I know. Compared to you I don't even know what a probability is... You are so utterly clueless.

Here is pop vote data for every election where pop vote data was available. You may disagree with my ratings, but look at the correlation...it sure ain't gonna produce any kind of significant levels even if you change my Pres ratings. There is absolutely no correlation between tightness of the race and quality of the President elected.

For someone who is so friggin smart, it is amazing how you rely so much on anecdotal crap.

corr = -0.0562
% of Greg's
Year Winner Popular Rating
1824 Adams JQ 29.9% 2.0
1828 Jackson 56.0% 6.0
1832 Jackson 56.5% 6.0
1836 Van Buren 58.2% 3.0
1840 Harrison W 53.0% 3.0
1844 Polk 50.7% 5.0
1848 Taylor 52.7% 5.0
1852 Pierce 53.6% 1.0
1856 Buchanan 58.1% 2.0
1860 Lincoln 39.9% 10.0
1864 Lincoln 55.1% 10.0
1868 Grant 52.7% 3.0
1876 Hayes 48.5% 4.0
1880 Garfield 50.0% 3.0
1884 Cleveland 50.3% 5.0
1888 Harrison B 49.6% 5.0
1892 Cleveland 47.2% 5.0
1896 McKinley 52.1% 6.0
1900 McKinley 53.2% 6.0
1904 Roosevelt T 60.0% 9.0
1908 Taft 54.5% 3.0
1912 Wilson 44.9% 9.0
1916 Wilson 51.7% 8.0
1920 Harding 63.8% 2.0
1924 Coolidge 54.3% 4.0
1928 Hoover 58.8% 1.0
1932 Roosevelt F 57.8% 10.0
1936 Roosevelt F 62.5% 10.0
1940 Roosevelt F 55.0% 9.0
1944 Roosevelt F 53.8% 8.0
1948 Truman 49.8% 7.0
1952 Eisenhower 55.4% 6.0
1956 Eisenhower 57.8% 5.0
1960 Kennedy 50.1% 7.0
1964 Johnson 61.3% 5.0
1968 Nixon 43.6% 7.0
1972 Nixon 61.8% 3.0
1976 Carter 51.1% 3.0
1980 Reagan 51.6% 7.0
1984 Reagan 59.2% 7.0
1988 Bush 53.9% 6.0
1992 Clinton 43.3% 7.0
1996 Clinton 49.2% 7.0
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