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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve
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To: Steve K who wrote (4352)12/2/2000 11:08:04 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) of 6710
 
I don't know about Judge Sauls, but I didn't really understand the statistician's testimony, myself, even without the gaffe about 1998. If you flip a coin eight times and it comes up heads eight times, what is the FACTUAL significance, other than the fact that it's statistically unusual?

Have you proved anything about the coin? The person flipping the coin? The environment in which the coin was flipped?

Apparently the statistician established a statistical anomaly, but he didn't make any case on causation, himself, and he didn't help the demographer's case on causation because the demographer's case was garbage.

So what is the significance of the statistical anomaly? And more importantly, why should the statistical anomaly make Judge Sauls want to order a recount?

Any lawyer who puts an expert witness who testifies that he hasn't tested his hypothesis but would like to, if only he had time, should be ashamed.

Well, who knows? Maybe Gore's lawyers are coasting because the fix is in and they don't have to worry.
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