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Strategies & Market Trends : Befriend the Trend Trading
SPY 679.68+0.7%Nov 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Dr. Stoxx who wrote (13686)12/3/2000 1:46:41 PM
From: Walkingshadow  Read Replies (2) of 39683
 
TC,

Maybe, but CIEN has a valuation greater than most, with a P/E of 380. Broken long term trendline, bad earnings news looming 12/7, still a lot of institutional ownership, less than 5% of the float held short (about 1 day's trading volume), topping pattern with a professional gap down on the failure, now in a clear downtrend, trading below all its moving averages, and looking like it will fail the overhead test at the 200 day moving average (despite the technical buy signals):

askresearch.com

If CIEN fails this overhead test, it will slice through support at 70 like a hot knife through butter. Next support about 50, then 40, then 32. At a price of 32, CIEN would still have a P/E of 158.

While I consider RIMM to be a better short, still my take is that CIEN is an excellent short also, with more potential downside than most.

Regards,

WS
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