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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services

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To: BigBull who wrote (80639)12/3/2000 2:16:34 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Read Replies (1) of 95453
 
Big Bull:

I would add two things to look for.

Very oversold McClellan Oscillator readings. Now neutral for NYSE and just moderately oversold for the NAZ

10-day ARMS index over 1.30 for both NYSE and NAZ. I mistakely said that these levels were almost reached recently. Apparently those high readings were for one day only -- not the 10-day moving average.

My basic scenario is that the market bounces sharply when the Fed makes it clear they will ease soon and again when the election is decided. But those bounces will fail leading to real capitulation by the bulls. My downside targets are NAZ 2000-2200, Dow 9000-9500, and OSX 80-85 -- probably by early January.
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