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Technology Stocks : Nokia Corp. (NOK)
NOK 6.845+0.5%3:59 PM EST

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To: Eric L who wrote (139)12/4/2000 1:19:12 PM
From: tero kuittinen  Read Replies (1) of 9255
 
I'm not sure about Nokia being "overcommitted to pending availability of WAP handsets a year ago". Sagem just announced ugly numbers a while ago and blamed early dependence on WAP and GPRS models. That's overcommitment; relying on WAP phones as a core part of sales during the second half of 2000. WAP demand isn't driving phone sales at this moment, of course.

Nokia didn't build this winter's sales strategy on WAP or GPRS demand. They did hype 7110 relentlessly long before it became available - but that was intended to galvanize operators into committing to WAP and GPRS. Nokia itself didn't commit to early, high-volume WAP or GPRS shipments. It didn't anticipate high 7110 volumes. It hasn't built the volume strategy on WAP models; it's depending on new, decidedly non-WAP 8000- and 3000-series.

Now - a lot of people bought into the early WAP hype and assumed that WAP would drive volume sales this winter. That's their miscalculation. 7110 was a window-display model that was meant to drive content-creators and operators towards WAP, and that strategy worked. Maybe that shows a certain amount of cynicism from Nokia's part; but it certainly isn't overcommitment. It was a tactical maneuvre. There would be an inventory problem with 7110 if Nokia had been serious about its volume ramp-up - and there isn't.

Tero
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