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Strategies & Market Trends : Wedges, triangles, and stuff: Chart patterns for breakouts

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To: Mike Kehler who wrote (35)5/29/1997 1:57:00 PM
From: Doug R   of 257
 
Mike,

The system I referred to is an attempt to quantify the strength of the
breakout if it should occur. I found that with the scale I use, a score
of 48 or higher predicts a move of 40% or more if the stock breaks out.
It doesn't predict that a breakout will occur though. I suppose it could
be broken down but I gave it such a wide range to eliminate any gray areas.
Stocks that have broken out after achieving the score of 48 or more include
MVSI, ONPT, SRVC(which came back down after a 60% jump), IFCI, WAXS, EXSO
(which also came back down) and a few others. Most are stocks under $5
but WAXS is still going very strong. There were also a couple that didn't
break out but that's not a problem since the breakout is the final signal.

The problem is the need to follow alot of stocks and updating the TA.
Other than that I feel comfortable with it. Most of the stocks had no
chart pattern to speak of at the time of the breakout but were at a
dismal looking bottom.

BIOC is my next one to do the complete TA on. Thanks Rainier for pointing
it out. I'll let you know what score it gets.

Doug R
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