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Politics : Electoral College 2000 - Ahead of the Curve
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To: bwanadon who wrote (5134)12/7/2000 5:36:30 PM
From: TraderGreg  Read Replies (1) of 6710
 
I believe that the likelihood of an error IF a clean punch through has been made is essentially zero,i.e, the odds that the machine recorded the vote for the WRONG candidate.

The differences between the machine vote count the first time and the second time is another issue. In fact, if you recall, when ballots were machine counted the second time, some of the ones with hanging chads were then recorded properly because the chad broke off.

IF you hand count every ballot to look for NEW votes, they will break in the same ratio as the candidates won votes in that county/precinct.

IF you hand count every ballot to look for INCORRECT vote allocations, each candidate will LOSE votes in the same ratio as the candidate won votes in that county/precinct. As I said, I would think this event would occur with extreme rarity for machine tabulations.

TG
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