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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)

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Nov 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: WTSherman who wrote (121130)	12/8/2000 1:35:01 AM
From: Joe NYC	Read Replies (1) of 186894

WT, 60 months? Not even close. That would mean that on average the the standard PC of 1993(a 486DX @100 Mhz, with 200MB HHD and 16MB of RAM) wasn't replaced until 1998???? By 1998 you couldn't even give these machines away to schools or charities by 1998. The 36 month cycle is from a Gartner Fortune 500 survey of IT directors that was done in 1998. The estimate I used for current replacement cycles of 42-48 months is my own perception based upon working with a large number of different company's. I think Mary is closer to the truth than you are. There are still a number of PCs out there running DOS, or in other text only OS. There are still some 486s (not too many) bus a significant number of low end Pentium machines. If you go to average smaller retail store, they are running PC based POS (Point of Sale) software that is text based. The text based dumb terminals have almost completely disappeared, but the text base PCs, running either terminal software or normal PC DOS software are still out there in force. Of course this is the tail end of the upgrade cycle, but it is still there. Joe

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