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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 208.25+8.2%3:59 PM EST

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To: niceguy767 who wrote (22220)12/11/2000 8:15:24 PM
From: CirruslvrRead Replies (1) of 275872
 
Niceguy - RE: "How about if they ship 40 million in Y2001?"

Maybe.

How about you look at ASPs also. This Q's ASP are NOT going to be higher than Q3's. And with Athlons selling for LESS than they have EVER sold for previously chances are Q1 ASPs are not going to be a great sight either.

AMD's highest clocked processor is selling for $230 on Pricewatch. I don't count the 1.2GHz Athlon because it is basically a paper processor for now. ASPs aren't going to get better until AMD stops giving away the Athlon and Duron. The Duron is actually selling for LESS than the K6-2 sold for when it was AMD's sole processor.

AMD said flash will be slightly higher than expected this Q but said overall revenues will still be basically flat with Q3 and EPS will be $0.08-$0.18 lower than expected.. They also said processors unit sales will be barely higher than in Q3. This means ASPs ARE deteriorating.

Good thing (if one sees it that way) is that the stock is so low that all this is basically priced in already.
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