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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC)
INTC 38.14-0.8%1:56 PM EST

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To: GVTucker who wrote (122869)12/14/2000 7:23:52 PM
From: Mary Cluney  Read Replies (2) of 186894
 
GVTucker,<<<RE: But I can't find a good excuse for the technology slowdown beyond the fact that the economy is tanking.>>>

<<<Unfortunately, I can't, either. >>>

I maybe naive. The only economics course I ever took was the home type, but isn't it obvious?

When you raise interest rates like crazy 5 or 6 times in a short period of time, money supply tightens - and the last one at 50 basis points hit home overnight.

New car and housing sales plummet causing sales to cease in a bunch of related industries. If you are putting off purchase of a home, automobile, refrigerators, dishwashers, et al, could PC's be very far behind?

Does it take a Nobel prize in economics to see that in that situation, a lot of industries would put expansion plans on hold? Especially with all those computer systems in place sensing a slow down in orders - all kinds of purchase orders are immediately cancelled.

If the US economy, as they say, catches a cold, the other economies catch pneumonia.

Is there a correlation between those rate hikes and this slow down?

I never went to Wharton or any other business school and the only kind of economics course I ever took, we had to wear aprons (Home Ec?), but it seems pretty obvious.

Mary
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