Don't Get Robbed on the Road to Faster Access
Jon C.A. DeKeles, Technical Director ZDNet AnchorDesk Thursday, May 29, 1997
Six months ago I stood on my virtual soap box and warned you to be wary of con artists pitching high-speed Net access-Trans Warp connection rates, if you will. Said you'd be better off humming along on impulse power (33K) for a while longer. Did you listen?
Months have passed now and you've been barraged with ads about super-fast 56K modems. Teased with talk of 67.2K modems on the way. Rumblings about ISDN and DSL. Cable modems. And here at AnchorDesk we've been touting satellites as a hopeful solution to bandwidth woes. You're wondering if it's finally time to chuck the 33K modem and grab some of that Trans Warp speed dangling out there so provocatively.
Listen up. I'm back on my virtual soap box to issue a short progress report. Short because I honestly don't see a lot of progress. Nothing I'd advise sinking money into, least yet. Here's why:
56K modems: No matter what it says on the box, you still aren't going to get consistent 56K speed. As the PC Magazine review in the sidebar indicates, FCC regs won't allow more than 53K throughput at present, (and that's the best the U.S. Robotics products tested could do anyway). If you're thinking 53K sounds pretty good, do some checking before you plunk down a couple hundred bucks: Your connection speed will be negatively impacted by the level of noise on your telephone line. Also standards confusion here, so what you buy now may not be supported later.
ISDN: It's a good news/bad news story with ISDN (Integrated Service Digital Network). Prices are stabilizing, regional telephone companies are offering ISDN service now, and a dedicated 64Kbps ISDN connection may actually deliver better (i.e. faster) performance than a congested T1 line. But high speed comes with a high cost. Prices may be a bit better, but they're still mighty steep.
Cable modems: May want to write the obit on this one. PC Week reports vendors are backing away from cable, given competition from digital subscriber line technology and cable's massive implementation headaches. Hewlett-Packard, IBM and Intel among those reportedly throwing in the towel.
DSL: Digital subscriber line technology comes in a couple of flavors. Because asymmetrical (ADSL) runs on copper phone lines already in place, they'll likely be first out of the chute. But don't hold your breath. As PC Week suggests in its "Farfetched Dream" article (linked in the sidebar), commitment from telcos questionable. And there are no standards. ADSL modems will initially push data at 1.5Mbps, but could eventually go as high as 51Mbps.
Satellites: The OuterNet-Jesse's name for high-speed Internet access via satellite-is going to take a few years to be widely accessible and affordable. There will be standards battles waged. But it may well be outer space that saves cyberspace from bandwidth peril. |